ONE YEAR ON: Queensland Premier Campbell Newman visits Bundaberg one year after the devastating 2013 floods.
ONE YEAR ON: Queensland Premier Campbell Newman visits Bundaberg one year after the devastating 2013 floods. Max Fleet

Analyst rubbishes claim Newman would lose election

A LEADING political analyst has rubbished claims the Newman Government would lose up to 35 seats if an election was held this week.

He said to predict the outcome of the upcoming election result based on union-funded poll was premature.

ReachTEL surveyed nearly 3000 residents across Queensland on Wednesday asking them who they would vote for if an election was held that day and what they thought of Premier Campbell Newman.

The poll, which was commissioned and paid for by an offshoot of the Together Union, found based on the preference flow from the last election; the LNP would lose 35 seats, which would reduce their numbers in parliament to 39.

It found Labor would gain 37 seats thus giving them a parliamentary majority of 45.

Professor Geoff Cockfield from the University of Southern Queensland said after analysing the data from the poll it was not all doom and gloom for the LNP as it had been made out to be.

"You cannot determine an election result from this poll," he said.

"You can infer it, but that to is also a fairly big stretch.

"The main point it shows, which is not all that surprising, is LNP support has slipped since the last election.

"They won by a massive margin at the last election winning nearly every seat so that was never going to last, they were always going to lose seats at the next one."

Professor Cockfield said the one thing the poll showed was the LNP continued to have a stranglehold across regional Queensland.

"The LNP continue to have strong support among males and older folk, which is fairly typical, especially with conservative voters," he said.

Opposition Leader Annastacia Palaszczuk said the poll showed the LNP was "lurching from crisis to crisis" and no issues were being resolved.

"That is reflected when I travel around the state and I am out there talking to people," she said.

"This government fails to listen.

"(The poll) typifies what is happening with this government."

Ms Palaszczuk, who is about to embark on a regional tour including Gladstone, Bundaberg and Gympie, said the recent polls were encouraging but the election was still a year away and anything could happen.

"We have eight members of the Queensland Parliament," she said.

"We have got a long way to go."

A spokeswoman for Premier Campbell Newman said the government did not comment on union-sponsored push polls.

"Our priority is delivering on our election promises, supercharging the economy and revitalising front-line services," she said.



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