News

Predicted end to La Nina weather

THE Weather Channel's declaration of the end of the La Nina weather cycle has not been met with delight by local weather watchers.

"They rely on a computer to tell them what's going to happen, instead of ringing up people who know," Neil Winters, cattle farmer and owner of The Clarence Gorge said.

"The Weather Channel reckon technology tells them what's going on, but they can be 24-36 hours behind date."

Declaring an end to La Nina and a return to season norms, The Weather Channel yesterday sent out reports justifying their announcement.

"A few key indicators are used to make a call on the end of a La Nina event," said Tom Saunders, senior meteorologist at The Weather Channel.

"Firstly, since the beginning of February sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the central equatorial Pacific have rapidly warmed, moving us from La Nina into neutral conditions," Mr Saunders said.

"A second indicator is the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), which measures the pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin," he said.

Late last year the SOI reached +24, well above La Nina thresholds of about +8, but in February the SOI averaged only +2.5.

"Other indicators have been slower to respond, with dateline cloud and trade winds remaining well within La Nina thresholds during February, but both have approached normal levels during the past few weeks."

Farmers have their own local knowledge built up through generations. Neil Winter's family have lived below the junction of the Mann and Clarence rivers for 113 years.

"Fellows in Brushgrove and Ulmarra will ring me and ask how much rain is coming down, because they have got about 13 hours to move their cattle and can't rely on weather reports," Mr Winters said.

"We know if the water is dirty coming down, it's come from Tabulam way and if it's clear, its coming from Jackadgery or Nymboida, because the water is more pristine on the west side."

"If Dorrigo had 100mm out of cloudburst this afternoon, they'll report that, but then not tell you that in three days the Lilydale Bridge is going to be out."

Topics:  floods grafton la nina rain weather



Former Magpies sons return to lead into next generation

NEXT GENERATION: Lower Clarence Magpies new coaches Anthony Hickling and Dan Randall with club president Darrin Heron (centre).

Lower premiership winner Dan Randall returns to lead 2017 charge.

Commercial fishers get extension, but it makes no difference

Ballina trawler harbour.

Deadline extended for NSW fishers buying back into the industry

Sex attacker slapped with strict supervision upon release

Violent sex offender's life after jail no walk in the park

Local Partners

Christmas has arrived in Grafton

Christmas has come to Shoppingworld as Santa arrived this morning to have his photos taken with children.


Bringing their Magic Mojo to Grafton

MAGIC: Head down to Roches Family Hotel for a brilliant mix of '70s, '80s and '90s music by Magic Mojo, a Coffs Coast band using their experience to give a brilliant performance.

Powerful trio to lift the top off Roches Hotel tonight

Catch Saturday night fever at the South Club

GEEZ WIZZ: Get your dancing shoes on for the UK Bee Geez Show.

The UK Bee Geez Show delivers a realistic tribute to pop legends

Audience in for a rare treat from husband and wife duo

Husband and wife Adam Eckersley and Brooke McClymont are playing at home this weekend for an intimate gig at the Pelican Playhouse.

"We love playing these up close and personal acoustic shows”

David Attenborough on facing his mortality

Sir David Attenborough in a scene from the TV special The Death of the Oceans.

Life without Sir David Attenborough is hard to imagine

Goooodbye Hamish and Andy (from our radios)

Hamish and Andy

The pair have been on air since 2006

Saying "I do" changed Shia's outlook on marriage

Shia LaBeouf has a new outlook on marriage since he tied the knot.

Singer tunes in to first movie role

Tori Kelly voices the character Meena in the movie Sing.

Musician Tori Kelly voices Meena the teenage elephant in Sing

Cricketing greats bring Aussie mateship to commentary box

Cricket commentator Adam Gilchrist.

ADAM Gilchrist enjoys the fun of calling the Big Bash League.

The dead help solve the case

Debut novel delivers on wit, violence and shock

Chinese locked out of Australian property market

The rules are different if you're a foreigner

The buyer was from China - the trouble started right there

Morrison signs off on new affordable rental model

Australia's Treasurer Scott Morrison speaks during a press conference after a meeting of the Council of Federal Financial Relations at Parliament House in Canberra, Friday, Dec. 2, 2016.

Scott Morrison signed off on development of a new financing model

Coast high-flyer's fight back from bankruptcy, $72m debt

Scott Juniper went from millionaire developer to declaring bankruptcy in2012, now he is back on top of his game again with new developments including this one in Coolum.

'Apocalyptic lending storm' causes financial collapse.

How your home can earn you big $$$$ this Christmas

This luxury Twin Waters home rents out over Christmas for more than $6000 a week.

Home owners earning thousands renting out their homes this Christmas

2000 jobs at multi-million dollar Ipswich project

INSIDE: Artist's impressions of the interior of the new Eastern Heights aged care precinct.

Sub-contractors needed to build $15m aged care facility

Ready to SELL your property?

Post Your Ad Here!